Ouroboros, an apt symbol for AI model collapse

by Ariella Brown

AI hits the ouroboros (sometimes written uroboros) stage. You've likely seen it in the form of a snake in a circle, eating its own tail. The ancient symbol also sometimes showed dragons or a wyvern, so I chose this engraving by Lucas Jennis intended to represent mercury in the 1625 alchemical tract "De Lapide Philosophico," for my illustration instead of just going with something as prosaic as "model collapse"

To get a bit meta and bring generative AI into the picture (pun intended, I'm afraid) here's an ouroboros image
made with generative AI. ked Google

Model collapse is what the researchers who published their take on this in Nature called the phenomenon of large language models (LLMs) doing the equivalent of eating their own tails when ingesting LLM output for new generation. They insist that the models should be limited to"data collected about genuine human interactions."

From the abstract:
"Here we consider what may happen to GPT-{n} once LLMs contribute much of the text found online. We find that indiscriminate use of model-generated content in training causes irreversible defects in the resulting models, in which tails of the original content distribution disappear. We refer to this effect as ‘model collapse’ and show that it can occur in LLMs as well as in variational autoencoders (VAEs) and Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). We build theoretical intuition behind the phenomenon and portray its ubiquity among all learned generative models. We demonstrate that it must be taken seriously if we are to sustain the benefits of training from large-scale data scraped from the web. Indeed, the value of data collected about genuine human interactions with systems will be increasingly valuable in the presence of LLM-generated content in data crawled from the Internet."

Shumailov, I., Shumaylov, Z., Zhao, Y. et al. AI models collapse when trained on recursively generated data. Nature 631, 755–759 (2024).

Let me know in the comments which illustration you like more. 

How to increase traffic 16,500%: clickbait vs. reality

 

by Ariella Brown

I just attended an event with the title " Information Gain Content: How to Increase Traffic 16,500% by Going Above & Beyond with Bernard Huang." Did the session live up to its clickbait title?

Not at all. 

This wasn't necessarily Bernard Huang's fault. The presentation was hosted by the Top of the Funnel group that favors these types of large numbers that sound just specific enough that people may believe they are real.

Earlier this month, it offered "Social Copywriting Secrets: Building an Audience of 114,985 with Eddie Shleyner" I attended that one, too, and there was nothing in it that justified that number as the guaranteed result of some tactic you could apply. Shleyner just emphasized sticking to good, authentic storytelling to keep your audience engaged.

There were no easy-to-apply tricks in this session. If anything, it was about the reason the old tricks no longer work.  Huang explained that Google is currently applying its stated standard of Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, and Trustworthiness (E-E-A-T) in the context of its AI overview.

My main takeaway from this session was not that it's easy to increase your traffic on Google but that it simply has switched one set of algorithmic rules for another, now including its own AI reads on content and that this is not necessarily a good thing.

What bad about this? 

The bottom line is that Google is relying very heavily on consensus as well as pre-established authority. That means that it is very easy for the sites that have already built up big audiences and strong rankings on Google to leverage that to put out proclamations that will be accepted as true, especially when they are -- inevitably -- echoed by the wannabee followers and all those who pretend to be thought leaders by parroting what influencers already say.


In other words, truly original thoughts by those who are not just reinforcing group think will likely be buried. I did raise this question and wasn't wholly reassured by the answer. It was that, yes, Google expects all points of consensus on a particular topic to be represented. If they are not present, your content will be an outcast. The only way you have a chance to be noted is if you play the contrarian game by refuting the consensus views point by point. Not giving it that nod is SEO suicide.

And so we the current state of search is one that aims to homogenize information according to preset parameters from those already granted expert status where those who are not in line with the consensus will be buried in the obscurity of high number page results. 

This is truly the opposite of a democratic platform in which understanding of history and current events is allowed to rise or fall based solely on its own merit rather than the pre-established narrative. George Patton would be appalled. He's the one who said: "If everyone is thinking alike, then somebody isn't thinking."

Google's algorithms are designed to reward those who follow in the paths preset by others rather than really thinking for themselves. 

P.S. For the story behind the illustration above, see my LinkedIn post. 

Related:

Aim higher than SEO for your marketing

The 6 step plan that fails

What Edison can teach us about SEO

Put SEO in the picture

Follow Write Way Pro on LinkedIn and on Facebook.

You can also follow Ariella Brown.  

Bard brings in the clowns for my query on ICP

 

by Ariella Brown

I've been reading Built to Last, a 1994 book about  successful businesses. None of the business models relied on the internet, and many of them already had many decades of history behind them. I noticed that the jargon in the book is quite different from today's.

For example, there is not a single mention of ICP (ideal customer profile). That made me curious. Did this term only emerge after the book's publication?

I turned to Bard ( see why here) for the answer, which also explains why this term emerged only in the post-internet world. This is what it wrote, and I have to admit being somewhat amused by the somewhat pushy CTA at the end and if the "I" is meant to be the AI itself:

The term "ideal customer profile" (ICP) was first used in the early 2000s by marketing and sales professionals. It was originally used to describe a hypothetical company that would be the perfect fit for a particular product or service. However, the term has since been adopted by businesses of all sizes and industries.

 

There are a few reasons why businesses started referring to ICPs. First, it became clear that not all customers are created equal. Some customers are more likely to be profitable than others. By understanding the characteristics of their ideal customers, businesses can focus their marketing and sales efforts on the most likely to convert.

 

Second, the rise of the internet made it easier for businesses to collect data about their customers. This data can be used to create detailed ICPs that take into account factors such as company size, industry, location, and pain points.
Finally, the increasing complexity of the marketplace made it more difficult for businesses to compete on price alone. By understanding their ideal customers and their needs, businesses can differentiate themselves from the competition and offer products and services that are truly valuable.

 

Today, ICPs are an essential part of any successful marketing and sales strategy. By creating a detailed ICP, businesses can improve their targeting, messaging, and conversion rates. This can lead to increased sales, improved customer satisfaction, and a stronger bottom line.
Here are some of the benefits of using an ICP:

 

Increased sales: By targeting your marketing and sales efforts to your ideal customers, you can increase your chances of closing deals.

 

Improved customer satisfaction: When you understand the needs of your ideal customers, you can deliver products and services that are more likely to meet their expectations.

 

Stronger bottom line: By improving your sales and customer satisfaction, you can increase your profits.

 

If you're not already using an ICP, I encourage you to start today. It's a simple but powerful tool that can help you take your business to the next level.

Notice that Bard is very bullish on ICPs, even pushy, I'd venture to say. That turns out to be a bit funny when it fails to recognize the acronym for my next query for a more recent business bible.

Clowns you say? 

I also recently read The Hard Thing About Hard Things published in 2014. I don't recollect a single mention of  ICP. Just to be sure, I asked Bard, which shows a kind of split personality when it comes to recalling acronyms. This was its response:

No, the book "The Hard Thing About Hard Things" by Ben Horowitz does not mention ICP. ICP stands for Insane Clown Posse, a hip hop duo from Detroit, Michigan. The book is about the challenges of running a startup company, and ICP is not relevant to that topic.
The book does mention a few other bands, such as The Beatles and The Rolling Stones. However, these bands are mentioned in the context of how they have influenced the music industry. ICP is not mentioned in the book at all.

Knowing that when you work with generative AI you have to try your prompt multiple times, I get it another whirl and wrote out "ideal customer profile" for the query. Now Bard grasped what I was asking and responded:

"The book "The Hard Thing About Hard Things" by Ben Horowitz does not explicitly mention the need for an ideal customer profile. However, the book does talk about the importance of knowing your target market and understanding their needs. This is essentially what an ideal customer profile is.

 

In Chapter 1, Horowitz writes, "The first thing you need to do is figure out who you're building for." He goes on to say that you need to "understand their pain, their goals, and their constraints." This is all information that would be included in an ideal customer profile.
In Chapter 2, Horowitz writes about the importance of "building a product that people actually want." He says that you need to "get feedback from your customers early and often." This is another way of saying that you need to understand your target market and their needs.
Overall, while the book does not explicitly mention the need for an ideal customer profile, it does emphasize the importance of understanding your target market and their needs. This is essentially what an ideal customer profile is.

 

Here are some additional tips for creating an ideal customer profile:
Identify your target market. Who are you trying to sell to? What are their demographics? What are their needs and wants?
Research your target market. What are they reading? What are they talking about online? What are their pain points?
Create a persona. Once you have a good understanding of your target market, create a persona. This is a fictional representation of your ideal customer.

 

Use your ideal customer profile to guide your marketing and sales efforts. Use your persona to create content, develop marketing campaigns, and target your sales efforts.

Related:

A matter of degree

Add a pinch of salt to creative claims for AI

The perils of prompt engineering

Visit WriteWayPro.weebly.com  Like and follow on Facebook and on LinkedIn

 

What Edison can teach us about SEO

en.wikipedia.org

 

No, Edison didn’t invent search engine optimization. But he did make a habit of tinkering around until he found what worked. You have to do the same to optimize your SEO.

Are we really going to talk about Edison? Yes. The first lesson of SEO is that the title

must match the content because it is the promise you make that the content has to deliver. 

You want to build an audience by giving them content that they find so good, they share it.
Clickbait always disappoints and so would only be shared by those who don’t really read

the content. 

Why SEO is important

People put a lot of trust in what comes up as a result in organic search precisely because it
comes across as information they seek rather than ads people paid to have shown to them.
While it’s easier to get fast results when you pay for ads, a solid content strategy that

incorporates SEO will offer a greater ROI over time.

What people get wrong about SEO

The biggest mistake people make when deciding to implement SEO is thinking of it as a

formula that can easily be applied to any site to boost rankings instantly. SEO doesn’t

work like that.

You don’t just read up on some SEO tips, apply them, and expect surges of traffic overnight.
As is always the case of seeing results from content marketing, you  have to allow six months to see measurable results from working through necessary tweaks

to titles, keywords, tags, etc. 

Improving it involves understanding what brings people to your content, what they’re

looking for, and how they’re phrasing their searches. That can inform your strategy

for creating content that is is is both relevant to your brand and to your audience’s

concerns, so the context within your work is important. 

Understanding SEO in context of your content

As someone who has blogged for fun since 2005, I’ve written about a variety of topics that

interest me without any though of popularity or monetization. Google Search Console

reports give me valuable insights into SEO by showing me not just which posts gets clicks

but which queries bring them to people's attention.

My post on Edison is far and above the most popular post on that blog, as you can

see from the top five shown below. The other four have something in common with

the Edison blog; they reference famous people. Those names are key component

of some of the queries that bring people to my blog. That was one insight derived

from studying Search Console.

Lightbulb* interest persists

Google doesn’t just provide me with the statistics here; it shows me what brings people to a post with emails that offer updates on performance, as well as the queries people type in that drives them to my site.

The latest one offered this insight:

How do people find you?

Top growing queries

Compared to previous month

how many times did edison fail before inventing the lightbulb

+18 clicks (web)

how many tries did it take to invent the lightbulb

+9 clicks (web)

how many tries to invent the lightbulb

+9 clicks (web)

Top performing queries

Query

Clicks (web)

how many times did edison fail before inventing the lightbulb

35

how many times did it take to invent the lightbulb

13

how many tries to invent the lightbulb

11

I wrote the blog on Edison back in 2015 when my curiosity was piqued about the myth of a thousand attempts to get it right after visiting his lab and home in New Jersey. Clearly many
others share that curiosity, and it is their query that drives traffic to the blog, delivering SEO
results that far exceed what I could get on social media.

Keep your content updated

Another thing to remember is this: the lightbulb’s development certainly didn’t
end when Edison filed for a patent on the bamboo filament version. It continued
to evolve over time, and your content has to as well, to stay relevant and rank well.

Accordingly, in 2020 I added several updates to the blog. They ranged from warnings about the Edison sites having closed to visitors and offering only virtual tours to more details about the evolution of the lightbulb until Edison’s patent, including the work of Lewis Howard Latimer, who was obliquely referenced by Joe Biden in the summer.

In 2022, I added a reference to the HBO series, The Gilded Age because the seventh episode
makes a point of bringing up Latimer in connection with Edison. The problem with that is
that show is set in 1882 when Latimer was still working for Edison's competitor. Though
he did come to work for Edison, that was in 1884. He also was working in the New York
office, primarily on patent issues -- not in the Menlo Park lab where the tinkering took
place.

Google is constantly adjusting its algorithms, so you have to constantly adjust your own
content to keep it optimized. SEO is not an ultimate destination but constantly evolving
journey of discovery.


*Note on "lightbulb" as one word. I opted for that here because it is AP style; however, writing it as two words is also correct.

Related:

Make Your Content as Accessible as Possible
7 Ways to Grab Customer Attention in Subject Lines
CRO is Like Basketball
Think Marathon Rather Than Sprint When Planning Content Marketing
Most Memorable Brand Slogans

Visit WriteWayPro.weebly.com  Like and follow on Facebook and on LinkedIn

Do you think this level of content is beyond your budget? Think again. Poor quality content not only fails to deliver the ROI you get from high quality content; it can actually harm your brand by demoting the the site ranking you've invested so much in building up.

What you really can't afford is poor quality content. Hire a seasoned pro to craft the right message for your organization and your demographics. Learn more here and book a free consultation call.

Blocking ad blocking with Google

n the conflict between publishers that want to deliver ads to more eyeballs, and the possessors of those eyeballs who try to block them from appearing, Google is presenting itself as the gatekeeper of choice. It offers to serve as guard to a site's content, and only let in those who either allow the ads to run or who pay for their ad-free experience.

About a quarter of the US online population used ad blockers last year; and even higher percentages did so in other countries. That all adds up to an estimated loss of $42 billion globally, according to a report by OnAudience.com. With so much money at stake, it's no wonder that more and more sites now withhold their content from visitors using ad blockers, or at least make note of the use of ad blocking in the escalation of the ad blocker arms race.

For those companies that want to call in the really heavy guns, there's the possibility of getting Google on guard. In a blog post entitled “Helping publishers recover lost revenue from ad blocking,” Google announced it was expanding its Funding Choices solution, launched in beta last year.

Read more in Google On Guard Against Ad Blocking

Blocking the Blocker for Ads

Please disable your ad blocker.” 

If you try to keep some of your internet experience free of ads, you likely see this appear on a number of sites. Those site often prevent you from seeing their content until you comply with their request. But other sites don't bother with requests; they just circumvent your ad blocker. An academic study, "Measuring and Disrupting Anti-Ad Blockers Using Differential Execution Analysis," found that in fact, anti-ad blockers are used 52 times more than previously indicated. I contacted one of the leaders of the study, Zhiyun Quian, Assistant Professor at University of California, Riverside, to learn about the persistence of hidden anti-ad blockers.

I first asked what drew his attention to this area of research. He said that as an ad blocker user himself, he noticed the increasing disruption of ads on sites he visited. “To save my personal experience, and everyone else who uses ad blockers, I decided to look into this as a research project.”

Read more in The Ad Blocker Arms Race